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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Players Winning Head-to-head By Series

Series
No. Of
Episodes
No. Of Players Winning Head-to-head
% Players
Winning
0 1 2 3 4
1 10 1 0 4 4 1 60%
2 40 0 8 11 16 5 61%
3 40 1 6 15 14 4 59%
4 60 2 13 23 14 8 55%
5 119 4 17 39 46 13 60%
6 148 8 25 62 44 9 54%
7 150 2 26 51 47 24 61%
8 146 1 21 56 44 24 62%
9 189 5 24 66 64 30 62%
10 190 6 26 66 70 22 60%
11 170 6 21 71 49 23 59%
12 170 5 22 55 59 29 63%
13 210 6 26 91 62 25 59%
14 210 3 24 74 88 21 62%
15 209 5 21 69 82 32 64%
16 54 0 5 18 18 13 68%
ALL 2115 55 285 771 721 283 61%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 170 7% 83% 10% 48%
13 210 7% 82% 11% 45%
14 210 10% 81% 9% 45%
15 209 11% 83% 7% 49%
16 54 19% 72% 9% 31%
ALL 2115 10% 79% 11% 41%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
No. Of Head-To-Heads 828 6680 952 8460
Player Wins 601 4138 383 5122
Player Win % 73% 62% 40% 61%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 41 43% 44% 11% 29%
£1,000 201 60% 42% 21% 43%
£2,000 545 70% 45% 36% 50%
£3,000 1072 71% 56% 33% 56%
£4,000 1588 75% 58% 40% 58%
£5,000 1672 74% 61% 36% 59%
£6,000 1508 77% 66% 49% 65%
£7,000 1039 82% 69% 45% 67%
£8,000 508 60% 75% 48% 71%
£9,000 193 100% 75% 73% 76%
£10,000 68 100% 71% 63% 71%
£11,000 16 100% 85% 50% 81%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

% Chasers Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 186 1459 224 1869
Chaser Wins 50 538 131 719
Chaser Win % 27% 37% 58% 38%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 192 1373 204 1769
Chaser Wins 57 556 115 728
Chaser Win % 30% 40% 56% 41%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 164 1453 223 1840
Chaser Wins 50 564 142 756
Chaser Win % 30% 39% 64% 41%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 171 1353 197 1721
Chaser Wins 45 504 107 656
Chaser Win % 26% 37% 54% 38%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 77 801 83 961
Chaser Wins 19 292 59 370
Chaser Win % 25% 36% 71% 39%
Darragh
Ennis
No. Of Head-To-Heads 38 241 21 300
Chaser Wins 6 88 15 109
Chaser Win % 16% 37% 71% 36%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 828 6680 952 8460
Chaser Wins 227 2542 569 3338
Chaser Win % 27% 38% 60% 39%

Note:

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 66% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 89% 95% 97% 100%
3 32% 61% 81% 88% 91%  
4 24% 49% 70% 77% 100%  
5 18% 41% 62% 62%    
6 18% 40% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 5.6% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 2078 117 4 2078
Player Win % 61% 76% 100% 66%
Chaser Win % 33% 21% 0% 34%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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