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Fan site for the UK TV quiz show The Chase.
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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Players Winning Head-to-head By Series

Series
No. Of
Episodes
No. Of Players Winning Head-to-head
% Players
Winning
0 1 2 3 4
1 10 1 0 4 4 1 60%
2 40 0 8 11 16 5 61%
3 40 1 6 15 14 4 59%
4 60 2 13 23 14 8 55%
5 119 4 17 39 46 13 60%
6 148 8 25 62 44 9 54%
7 150 2 26 51 47 24 61%
8 146 1 21 56 44 24 62%
9 189 5 24 66 64 30 62%
10 190 6 26 66 70 22 60%
11 170 6 21 71 49 23 59%
12 170 5 22 55 59 29 63%
13 210 6 26 91 62 25 59%
14 210 3 24 74 88 21 62%
15 209 5 21 69 82 32 64%
16 158 1 17 54 56 30 65%
17 156 11 22 49 54 20 58%
18 25 1 3 8 9 4 62%
ALL 2400 68 322 864 822 324 61%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 170 7% 83% 10% 48%
13 210 7% 82% 11% 45%
14 210 10% 81% 9% 45%
15 209 11% 83% 7% 49%
16 158 18% 74% 9% 32%
17 156 17% 71% 12% 28%
18 25 13% 78% 9% 48%
ALL 2400 11% 78% 11% 39%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
No. Of Head-To-Heads 1019 7513 1068 9600
Player Wins 744 4637 431 5812
Player Win % 73% 62% 40% 61%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 43 50% 41% 11% 30%
£1,000 225 62% 43% 24% 44%
£2,000 662 72% 45% 40% 52%
£3,000 1231 71% 57% 34% 57%
£4,000 1835 73% 58% 39% 57%
£5,000 1911 74% 61% 35% 60%
£6,000 1696 80% 66% 48% 65%
£7,000 1141 82% 68% 45% 66%
£8,000 553 58% 74% 49% 70%
£9,000 208 100% 74% 74% 75%
£10,000 70 100% 69% 56% 69%
£11,000 16 100% 85% 50% 81%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

% Chasers Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 217 1602 248 2067
Chaser Wins 57 598 146 801
Chaser Win % 26% 37% 59% 39%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 224 1522 225 1971
Chaser Wins 67 620 127 814
Chaser Win % 30% 41% 56% 41%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 203 1586 239 2028
Chaser Wins 60 615 152 827
Chaser Win % 30% 39% 64% 41%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 200 1496 217 1913
Chaser Wins 53 559 116 728
Chaser Win % 27% 37% 53% 38%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 106 939 100 1145
Chaser Wins 24 341 67 432
Chaser Win % 23% 36% 67% 38%
Darragh
Ennis
No. Of Head-To-Heads 69 368 39 476
Chaser Wins 14 143 29 186
Chaser Win % 20% 39% 74% 39%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 1019 7513 1068 9600
Chaser Wins 275 2876 637 3788
Chaser Win % 27% 38% 60% 39%

Note:

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 65% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 89% 95% 96% 100%
3 31% 61% 80% 88% 89%  
4 24% 50% 70% 77% 100%  
5 18% 41% 62% 62%    
6 18% 41% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

The first player to have a one question shootout was the first player on the very first episode. They lost it - to The Beast.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 5.6% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 2380 134 4 2380
Player Win % 61% 73% 100% 65%
Chaser Win % 34% 24% 0% 35%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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