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Fan site for the UK TV quiz show The Chase.
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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Players Winning Head-to-head By Series

Series
No. Of
Episodes
No. Of Players Winning Head-to-head
% Players
Winning
0 1 2 3 4
1 10 1 0 4 4 1 60%
2 40 0 8 11 16 5 61%
3 40 1 6 15 14 4 59%
4 60 2 13 23 14 8 55%
5 119 4 17 39 46 13 60%
6 148 8 25 62 44 9 54%
7 150 2 26 51 47 24 61%
8 146 1 21 56 44 24 62%
9 189 5 24 66 64 30 62%
10 190 6 26 66 70 22 60%
11 170 6 21 71 49 23 59%
12 170 5 22 55 59 29 63%
13 210 6 26 91 62 25 59%
14 210 3 24 74 88 21 62%
15 209 5 21 69 82 32 64%
16 158 1 17 54 56 30 65%
17 151 10 21 49 51 20 58%
18 17 1 2 6 6 2 59%
ALL 2387 67 320 862 816 322 61%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 170 7% 83% 10% 48%
13 210 7% 82% 11% 45%
14 210 10% 81% 9% 45%
15 209 11% 83% 7% 49%
16 158 18% 74% 9% 32%
17 151 17% 72% 11% 28%
18 17 10% 79% 10% 53%
ALL 2387 11% 78% 11% 39%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
No. Of Head-To-Heads 1010 7476 1062 9548
Player Wins 737 4615 428 5780
Player Win % 73% 62% 40% 61%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 42 50% 44% 11% 31%
£1,000 225 62% 43% 24% 44%
£2,000 659 72% 45% 40% 51%
£3,000 1222 71% 57% 33% 56%
£4,000 1820 73% 58% 39% 57%
£5,000 1906 74% 61% 35% 59%
£6,000 1686 80% 66% 47% 65%
£7,000 1134 82% 68% 46% 66%
£8,000 552 58% 74% 49% 70%
£9,000 207 100% 74% 74% 76%
£10,000 70 100% 69% 56% 69%
£11,000 16 100% 85% 50% 81%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

% Chasers Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 215 1594 246 2055
Chaser Wins 56 592 145 793
Chaser Win % 26% 37% 59% 39%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 223 1515 225 1963
Chaser Wins 67 619 127 813
Chaser Win % 30% 41% 56% 41%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 202 1578 236 2016
Chaser Wins 59 612 150 821
Chaser Win % 29% 39% 64% 41%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 197 1492 216 1905
Chaser Wins 53 558 116 727
Chaser Win % 27% 37% 54% 38%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 106 935 100 1141
Chaser Wins 24 339 67 430
Chaser Win % 23% 36% 67% 38%
Darragh
Ennis
No. Of Head-To-Heads 67 362 39 468
Chaser Wins 14 141 29 184
Chaser Win % 21% 39% 74% 39%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 1010 7476 1062 9548
Chaser Wins 273 2861 634 3768
Chaser Win % 27% 38% 60% 39%

Note:

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 65% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 89% 95% 96% 100%
3 31% 61% 80% 88% 89%  
4 24% 50% 70% 77% 100%  
5 18% 41% 62% 62%    
6 18% 40% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

The first player to have a one question shootout was the first player on the very first episode. They lost it - to The Beast.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 5.7% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 2366 134 4 2366
Player Win % 61% 73% 100% 65%
Chaser Win % 34% 24% 0% 35%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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