Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Players Winning Head-to-head By Series

Series	No. Of Episodes	No. Of Players Winning Head-to-head					% Players Winning
Series	No. Of Episodes	0	1	2	3	4	% Players Winning
1	10	1	0	4	4	1	60%
2	40	0	8	11	16	5	61%
3	40	1	6	15	14	4	59%
4	60	2	13	23	14	8	55%
5	119	4	17	39	46	13	60%
6	148	8	25	62	44	9	54%
7	150	2	26	51	47	24	61%
8	146	1	21	56	44	24	62%
9	189	5	24	66	64	30	62%
10	190	6	26	66	70	22	60%
11	170	6	21	71	49	23	59%
12	170	5	22	55	59	29	63%
13	210	6	26	91	62	25	59%
14	210	3	24	74	88	21	62%
15	209	5	21	69	82	32	64%
16	153	1	15	54	53	30	66%
17	36	3	8	9	14	2	53%
ALL	2250	59	303	816	770	302	61%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series	No. Of Episodes	% Players Taking ...	% Teams All Taking Middle Offer
1	10	23%	68%	10%	20%
2	40	16%	74%	10%	28%
3	40	10%	75%	15%	33%
4	60	11%	77%	12%	28%
5	119	12%	72%	16%	27%
6	148	13%	72%	15%	31%
7	150	13%	75%	12%	33%
8	146	11%	78%	11%	37%
9	189	9%	78%	13%	38%
10	190	7%	83%	10%	47%
11	170	5%	82%	13%	48%
12	170	7%	83%	10%	48%
13	210	7%	82%	11%	45%
14	210	10%	81%	9%	45%
15	209	11%	83%	7%	49%
16	153	18%	74%	9%	31%
17	36	17%	69%	13%	25%
ALL	2250	10%	79%	11%	40%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

	Offer Chosen			ALL
	Lower Offer	Middle Offer	Higher Offer	ALL
No. Of Head-To-Heads	921	7074	1005	9000
Player Wins	672	4376	405	5453
Player Win %	73%	62%	40%	61%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash Builder	No. Of Players	% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Cash Builder	No. Of Players	Lower Offer	Middle Offer	Higher Offer	ALL
£0	41	43%	44%	11%	29%
£1,000	211	62%	42%	21%	43%
£2,000	593	71%	44%	37%	50%
£3,000	1155	72%	57%	33%	57%
£4,000	1706	73%	58%	39%	58%
£5,000	1794	75%	61%	35%	59%
£6,000	1595	78%	66%	49%	65%
£7,000	1080	83%	68%	46%	67%
£8,000	533	59%	74%	48%	70%
£9,000	197	100%	74%	74%	76%
£10,000	70	100%	69%	56%	69%
£11,000	16	100%	85%	50%	81%
£12,000	7		57%		57%
£13,000	1		0%		0%
£14,000	1		0%		0%

% Chasers Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

		Offer Chosen			ALL
		Lower Offer	Middle Offer	Higher Offer	ALL
Mark Labbett	No. Of Head-To-Heads	205	1522	232	1959
	Chaser Wins	54	562	136	752
	Chaser Win %	26%	37%	59%	38%
Shaun Wallace	No. Of Head-To-Heads	208	1440	215	1863
	Chaser Wins	63	587	121	771
	Chaser Win %	30%	41%	56%	41%
Anne Hegerty	No. Of Head-To-Heads	186	1513	229	1928
	Chaser Wins	55	589	147	791
	Chaser Win %	30%	39%	64%	41%
Paul Sinha	No. Of Head-To-Heads	179	1424	206	1809
	Chaser Wins	46	530	111	687
	Chaser Win %	26%	37%	54%	38%
Jenny Ryan	No. Of Head-To-Heads	90	868	91	1049
	Chaser Wins	21	313	62	396
	Chaser Win %	23%	36%	68%	38%
Darragh Ennis	No. Of Head-To-Heads	53	307	32	392
	Chaser Wins	10	117	23	150
	Chaser Win %	19%	38%	72%	38%
ALL	No. Of Head-To-Heads	921	7074	1005	9000
	Chaser Wins	249	2698	600	3547
	Chaser Win %	27%	38%	60%	39%

Note:

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

		Gap To Chaser
		1	2	3	4	5	6
Steps From Home	1	65%	89%	96%	99%	99%	100%
	2	45%	74%	89%	95%	96%	100%
	3	32%	61%	81%	88%	91%
	4	24%	49%	70%	77%	100%
	5	18%	42%	62%	62%
	6	18%	40%	57%
	7		50%

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

The first player to have a one question shootout was the first player on the very first episode. They lost it - to The Beast.
There have been 12 daytime episodes where all 4 players went to a one question shootout. Jenny has had 4, Anne has had 3, Mark and Paul have had 2 each, and Shaun has had 1.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 5.6% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

	1st One Question Shootout	2nd One Question Shootout	3rd One Question Shootout	Overall
No. Of Players	2230	124	4	2230
Player Win %	61%	77%	100%	65%
Chaser Win %	34%	20%	0%	35%
Neither Wins %	6%	3%		n/a