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Fan site for the UK TV quiz show The Chase.
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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 169 7% 83% 11% 48%
13 72 6% 83% 11% 42%
ALL 1503 10% 78% 12% 38%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 138 1112 183 1433
Player Wins 100 690 73 863
Player Win % 72% 62% 40% 60%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 148 1052 165 1365
Player Wins 101 618 70 789
Player Win % 68% 59% 42% 58%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 119 1083 190 1392
Player Wins 82 648 76 806
Player Win % 69% 60% 40% 58%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 133 1000 156 1289
Player Wins 94 631 72 797
Player Win % 71% 63% 46% 62%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 35 455 43 533
Player Wins 26 296 10 332
Player Win % 74% 65% 23% 62%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 573 4702 737 6012
Player Wins 403 2883 301 3587
Player Win % 70% 61% 41% 60%

Note:

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 35 50% 46% 0% 26%
£1,000 153 54% 44% 21% 42%
£2,000 403 68% 43% 33% 48%
£3,000 797 67% 55% 32% 54%
£4,000 1128 71% 57% 42% 57%
£5,000 1161 73% 61% 35% 59%
£6,000 1049 76% 66% 50% 65%
£7,000 708 88% 69% 48% 67%
£8,000 350 59% 73% 50% 69%
£9,000 150 100% 76% 73% 77%
£10,000 55 100% 74% 67% 75%
£11,000 14 100% 82% 50% 79%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 65% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 90% 95% 97% 100%
3 32% 60% 80% 88% 92%  
4 24% 49% 69% 75% 100%  
5 18% 42% 61% 62%    
6 19% 41% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 6.3% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 1456 92 3 1456
Player Win % 60% 77% 100% 65%
Chaser Win % 34% 20% 0% 35%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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