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Fan site for the UK TV quiz show The Chase.
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Statistics - Head-To-Heads

Statistics on this page are for daytime episodes of The Chase only. A few statistics for Celebrity Specials and The Family Chase can be found in their respective sections of the website.

For percentages where the chaser is in direct competition with the player/team, coloured backgrounds are used. This page shows percentages from the point of view of the player/team. Any percentages of 50% and over are coloured blue - 100% is a deep blue, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes. Any percentages of less than 50% are coloured red - 0% is a deep red, and the nearer it gets to 50% the lighter the colour becomes.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Head-To-Head Option Chosen By Series

In series 1 and 2, the lower offers were more generous than they are now, so more players took this offer. For series 10 onwards, almost half of the teams have all gone for the middle offer. Hoping that more players in the final chase will help them to beat the chaser.

Series
No. Of
Episodes
% Players Taking ...
% Teams All Taking
Middle Offer
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
1 10 23% 68% 10% 20%
2 40 16% 74% 10% 28%
3 40 10% 75% 15% 33%
4 60 11% 77% 12% 28%
5 119 12% 72% 16% 27%
6 148 13% 72% 15% 31%
7 150 13% 75% 12% 33%
8 146 11% 78% 11% 37%
9 189 9% 78% 13% 38%
10 190 7% 83% 10% 47%
11 170 5% 82% 13% 48%
12 169 7% 83% 11% 48%
13 32 5% 80% 15% 31%
ALL 1463 10% 78% 12% 38%

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Offer Chosen

  Offer Chosen ALL
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer
Mark
Labbett
No. Of Head-To-Heads 135 1085 181 1401
Player Wins 99 672 71 842
Player Win % 73% 62% 39% 60%
Shaun
Wallace
No. Of Head-To-Heads 147 1023 163 1333
Player Wins 100 600 70 770
Player Win % 68% 59% 43% 58%
Anne
Hegerty
No. Of Head-To-Heads 118 1056 186 1360
Player Wins 82 636 73 791
Player Win % 69% 60% 39% 58%
Paul
Sinha
No. Of Head-To-Heads 130 975 152 1257
Player Wins 92 619 70 781
Player Win % 71% 63% 46% 62%
Jenny
Ryan
No. Of Head-To-Heads 32 426 43 501
Player Wins 23 277 10 310
Player Win % 72% 65% 23% 62%
ALL No. Of Head-To-Heads 562 4565 725 5852
Player Wins 396 2804 294 3494
Player Win % 70% 61% 41% 60%

Note:

% Players Winning Head-To-Head By Cash Builder

Not surprisingly, there is a good correlation between cash builder score, and the percentage of players winning their head-to-head. There are a few oddities though - none more so than the bottom 3 rows. Only 4 of the 9 players to score £12,000 or more in their cash builder went on to win their head-to-head.

Cash
Builder
No. Of
Players
% Players Winning Head-To-Head
Lower Offer Middle Offer Higher Offer ALL
£0 35 50% 46% 0% 26%
£1,000 151 54% 45% 22% 43%
£2,000 391 71% 44% 32% 49%
£3,000 782 67% 55% 32% 54%
£4,000 1096 70% 57% 42% 57%
£5,000 1130 73% 61% 35% 59%
£6,000 1015 78% 65% 49% 64%
£7,000 692 87% 69% 48% 67%
£8,000 335 59% 74% 48% 70%
£9,000 148 100% 76% 73% 77%
£10,000 54 100% 76% 67% 76%
£11,000 14 100% 82% 50% 79%
£12,000 7   57%   57%
£13,000 1   0%   0%
£14,000 1   0%   0%

Likelihood Of Winning Head-To-Head By Position On Table

This table follows each player, question by question, on their journey at the table. It is for all players, regardless of what offer they have chosen. It shows how many steps they are from home, and how far behind the chaser is. eg. The first row shows how likely a player is to get home when they have 1 step to go for the chaser being 1 step behind, 2 steps behind, 3 steps behind and so on.

Generally, the player is the more likely to get home than not. Unless the chaser gets 1 step behind with at least 2 steps to go, or gets 2 steps behind with at least 4 steps to go.

Gap To Chaser
1 2 3 4 5 6
Steps
From
Home
1 65% 89% 96% 99% 99% 100%
2 45% 74% 90% 96% 98% 100%
3 32% 60% 80% 89% 92%  
4 24% 49% 69% 76% 100%  
5 18% 42% 61% 62%    
6 19% 41% 57%      
7   50%        

Note:

The One Question Shootout

Shaun's favourite part of the show - when the player is one step from home and the chaser is right behind them.

But when is a one question shootout not a one question shootout? When both player and chaser give the wrong answer and they have to do it again. Actually, 6.3% of one question shootouts require at least one further question to decide the outcome.

1st One
Question
Shootout
2nd One
Question
Shootout
3rd One
Question
Shootout
Overall
No. Of Players 1418 90 3 1418
Player Win % 60% 77% 100% 65%
Chaser Win % 34% 20% 0% 35%
Neither Wins % 6% 3%   n/a

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