Statistics - Final Chase

Chaser Wins by Target

  3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ALL
No. of Episodes 1 1 3 9 6 13 26 44 55 72 84 109 137 133 126 119 90 61 35 32 16 9 8 1 2 1192
Chaser Wins 1 1 3 9 6 13 26 43 54 71 77 98 112 93 101 75 46 28 15 13 3 1 2 0 0 891
Chaser Losses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 7 11 25 40 25 44 44 33 20 19 13 8 6 1 2 301
Chaser Win % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 99% 92% 90% 82% 70% 80% 63% 51% 46% 43% 41% 19% 11% 25% 0% 0% 75%

Chaser Wins by Target and Old v New Series

If we separate the data by old series (1-5) and new series (6 onwards), it gives a different perspective. For series 1-5, a target of 24 would see the chasers losing more times than not. But for series 6 onwards, this number drops to 20.

  3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ALL
Series 1-5 Episodes         1   1 4 10 6 10 23 19 19 26 34 31 26 17 17 9 7 6 1 2 269
Wins         1   1 4 10 6 9 21 19 15 22 29 21 17 9 11 2 1 2 0 0 200
Win %         100%   100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 91% 100% 79% 85% 85% 68% 65% 53% 65% 22% 14% 33% 0% 0% 74%
Series 6- Episodes 1 1 3 9 5 13 25 40 45 66 74 86 118 114 100 85 59 35 18 15 7 2 2     923
Wins 1 1 3 9 5 13 25 39 44 65 68 77 93 78 79 46 25 11 6 2 1 0 0     691
Win % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 98% 92% 90% 79% 68% 79% 54% 42% 31% 33% 13% 14% 0% 0%     75%

Chaser Wins by Target and Series

The first number in each cell is the number of chaser wins. The second number in each cell, after the "/", is the number of episodes. The cell is then coloured according to this number as a percentage.

  3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ALL
S 1                 1/1   1/1     1/1 1/1 1/1 1/3   1/1   0/1         7/10
S 2         1/1       1/1   4/4 2/2 4/4   4/4 2/2 2/2 4/6 2/4 3/3 0/4 0/1 1/1   0/1 30/40
S 3               1/1 1/1     6/6   2/2 3/4 6/7 1/2 4/4 1/1 4/4 0/1 1/4 1/2 0/1   31/40
S 4               3/3 2/2 4/4 2/2 4/4 5/5 2/3 6/7 5/7 5/6 1/3 3/7 3/4   0/1 0/2     45/60
S 5             1/1   5/5 2/2 2/3 9/11 10/10 10/13 8/10 15/17 12/18 8/13 2/4 1/6 2/3 0/1 0/1   0/1 87/119
S 6       1/1   1/1 3/3 9/9 5/5 6/6 11/12 14/16 11/14 19/26 13/18 6/10 2/9 2/8 4/7 0/2 0/1         107/148
S 7       2/2 1/1 1/1 7/7 3/3 10/10 10/10 12/13 18/20 14/15 14/21 9/14 11/17 3/7 0/3 1/3 0/1 0/2         116/150
S 8     1/1   1/1 4/4 5/5 4/5 8/8 15/15 12/12 13/16 15/17 6/10 15/18 3/12 3/12 2/6 0/1 0/1 0/2         107/146
S 9       1/1 1/1 4/4 5/5 9/9 8/9 16/16 17/19 13/14 19/26 17/25 13/14 7/16 8/12 2/8 0/3 0/3 0/1 0/1 0/2     140/189
S10 1/1   2/2 3/3 2/2 3/3 3/3 10/10 7/7 12/12 10/12 14/15 24/31 12/20 17/24 10/17 4/10 4/8 1/4 2/5   0/1       141/190
S11   1/1   2/2     2/2 4/4 6/6 6/7 6/6 5/5 10/15 10/12 12/12 9/13 5/9 1/2   0/3 1/1         80/100
ALL 1/1 1/1 3/3 9/9 6/6 13/13 26/26 43/44 54/55 71/72 77/84 98/109 112/137 93/133 101/126 75/119 46/90 28/61 15/35 13/32 3/16 1/9 2/8 0/1 0/2 891/1192

Average No. of Questions Answered in the Build Up to the Final Chase (Players)

More questions were asked to the players in the build up to the final chase in series 2 to 6. The peak of 27.0 for series 4 is 4.6 questions more than for series 11. For series 3, solo players were asked on average 4.0 more questions than teams who were using the buzzers. For the latest series, the difference is 1.4 questions.

  % of Episodes Covered Teams With 1 Player Teams With 2 or More Players ALL
Series 1 90% 25.0 21.9 22.2
Series 2 100% 27.9 25.6 26.0
Series 3 100% 29.0 25.0 25.7
Series 4 100% 28.9 26.3 27.0
Series 5 88% 27.9 24.7 25.3
Series 6 9% 27.5 23.8 24.4
Series 7 97% 24.7 23.4 23.6
Series 8 53% 24.8 22.8 23.0
Series 9 33% 24.2 22.7 22.9
Series 10 100% 24.3 22.5 22.8
Series 11 100% 23.5 22.2 22.4

Average No. of Questions Answered in the Final Chase (Chasers)

The length of the final chase varies from as little as about 30 seconds up to the maximum of 2 minutes. So when the chaser wins, I use the speed at which questions were being asked to calculate how many questions they would have been asked had it gone on for the full 2 minutes.

As per the players, the chasers were asked more questions in series 2 to 6. The average number of questions in the latest series is about 5.0 fewer than the peak. Compared to a solo player in the build up to the final chase, the chasers get through about 2-3 additional questions. Compared to a team with more than 1 player, they get through about 3-5 additional questions. These differences are probably due to the chasers being more willing to anticipate the answer and interrupt the question.

  % of Episodes Covered No. of Questions
Series 1 90% 26.4
Series 2 100% 29.9
Series 3 100% 30.5
Series 4 100% 30.5
Series 5 88% 30.2
Series 6 11% 28.7
Series 7 97% 27.0
Series 8 51% 26.1
Series 9 98% 25.6
Series 10 100% 26.0
Series 11 100% 25.7

% of Questions Answered Correctly in the Build Up to the Final Chase (Players)

For series 6 onwards, the average number of questions answered correctly in the build up to the final chase is 59%. Naturally the more players you have in the team, the higher this percentage gets. In recent series, solo players actually get more questions wrong than they do right. The percentages have dropped when compared to series 1-5. So either the questions are getting harder, or the players aren't so knowledgeable.

  % of Episodes Covered No. of Players Winning Head-To-Head ALL
0 1 2 3 4
Series 1-5 94% 52% 53% 64% 67% 70% 63%
Series 6- 64% 52% 46% 58% 63% 64% 59%

% of Questions Answered Correctly in the Final Chase (Chasers)

Typically the chasers answer 78-85% of questions correctly in the final chase. The figure for series 6 is a little lower, although this may just be due to small sample size as I've not been able to document as many episodes as for the other series.

  % of Episodes Covered % of Questions Answered Correctly
Series 1 90% 82%
Series 2 100% 84%
Series 3 100% 85%
Series 4 100% 79%
Series 5 88% 80%
Series 6 11% 75%
Series 7 97% 78%
Series 8 51% 79%
Series 9 98% 80%
Series 10 100% 81%
Series 11 100% 84%

% of Pushbacks Answered Correctly in the Final Chase (Players)

The percentage of pushbacks answered correctly is fairly consistent when comparing series 1-5 with series 6 onwards. Again, as you would expect the percentage rises as the team size increases.

  % of Episodes Covered No. of Players Winning Head-To-Head ALL
0 1 2 3 4
Series 1-5 94% 38% 42% 50% 55% 55% 51.3%
Series 6- 77% 39% 38% 48% 56% 59% 51.4%

Page last updated: 04 January 2018